2009: you’re not that welcome in China

[edited 30 April]
There we go again. In its draconian approach – no people, no foreigners, no trouble makers, no unruly masses – the Chinese Paranoid Brigade has apparently decided the Olympics were great – less people less trouble. So, this year the clean-up is in view of the “celebration” of 60 years China (never mind some other “anniversaries”). Not a celebration for all though, please stay home in your foreign country and watch the military parade on your HDTV with a beer and some chips. Too bad for the business people, the planned seminars and congresses. Some are starting to be postponed. Never mind the hotels, the tourism agencies, the food and beverage sectors. And the export sector. Don’t come to buy your toys in the coming months. Go somewhere else instead and leave us alone here. Screw the recession.
Indeed, all those hoping for their F visas (stands now for F####ing visas), bye bye. The usually super-busy months of September / October will make way for blue skies.
I guess Beijing will again erect its security perimeter around the city. Don’t dream about coming from other provinces into the city. And do not bring washing powder and shampoo. Too dangerous. You non-Beijingers, stay home and watch TV, OK! Cross the border without proper papers and you might get shot (as I learned some days ago in Hebei Province).
Of course expect the denials. Like the ones (Qin Gang, Foreign Ministry spokesman): “Many people have a false impression that the Chinese government fears the Internet. In fact, it is just the opposite”. Yeah, you bet. YouTube gone. And all the others, thanks to the Great Firewall. No fear, just that Chinese are all toddlers sitting in a huge kindergarten. They need to be protected from negative influences.
Shanghai 2010? Another big event without visitors?

no YouTube but at least this, thanks to China Daily

no YouTube but at least this, thanks to China Daily


Well, at least we have China Daily to cheer us up. They also like a good pair of legs and more. Let’s see if the new guys from “The Global Times” come up with more and better.
See here what China Economic Review wrote:
China to boost security ahead of PRC anniversary
29 April 2009
China on Tuesday announced plans to boost public security in preparation for the 60th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, AP reported, citing state media. The new security campaign will begin in May in order to ensure “a steady and harmonious social environment” for the anniversary celebrations slated for October. Police will step up efforts to rein in criminal gangs, arrest wanted criminals, and crack down on robberies and phone scams. Local officials have been encouraged to “carry out in-depth patriotic educational activities” which should “guide people to love the party” and recognize the advantages of socialism. Visas for foreigners will also be restricted. China enacted similar security measures in the runup to the Olympic Games in Beijing in August of last year.

Chinese economy: keep seat belts on

As said again very clearly by top officials such as Mr. Wen Jiabao earlier in April – “The economy still faces major challenges”. Too early for optimism?
Added Fan Gang, the central bank advisor: “Major Western economies are still in the early stage of recession, which will weigh on Chinese exports, and China is still in the process of reducing inventories and adjusting overcapacity, which may not be completed until 2011. My judgment is, the recession in the global economy will last at least three to four years. We should be able to bottom out within one or two years”.
As happened several times in the past, people fail to pay attention to warnings from top Chinese officials. They proved several times to have a much clearer vision on the world economy.
Yes, the “negative figures in China are becoming less negative”. But many people still don’t realize that the ripple effect has barely started to affect business here.
Further to that, many Chinese economists and alike are becoming gloomy with their favorite savings – the USD. They think the Fed is printing too much money and the budget deficit will bring inflation and depreciation of the USD: “The depreciation of the dollar has become an inevitable historical trend” says one. So, potential losses for China’s foreign currency reserves. Not too clever anyway those people, why did they not diversify more their reserves with other currencies? A bit late now.
Unless the USA really can get back on its feet. But some Americans are not so optimistic – like Craig R. Barrett, chairman of Intel: “We are watching the decline and fall of the United States as an economic power – not hypothetically, but as we speak”. He blames, to a large extend, the “slouching education system”. Oh well, we also complain about that here.

China: the second-most heavily taxed country

scmptaxmiseryNow damn it. China beats Belgium, again.
The mainland has been rated the world’s second-most heavily taxed country last year and No 1 in Asia in an annual Forbes magazine survey released on 2 April, as reported by the South China Morning Post.
Forbes said China’s tax “misery score” rose seven points from last year to 159, just behind France at 167.9, and one place higher than its 2007 spot.
The added burden was blamed on a rise in social security taxes following the new Labor Contract Law, the survey’s compilers said.
The annual misery index assesses whether a jurisdiction’s tax policy attracts or repels capital and talent. Scores are the sums of corporate, personal, social security and sales tax rates. The higher the score, the less tax-friendly the jurisdiction.
France and Belgium were the top taxers in 2007.
For once, it’s good to lose. Be it a warning for the many naïve who think in China all is cheap. Till you pay your taxes. No wonder companies keep several books for accounting. We call it flexibility or capitalism with Chinese characteristics.

What does one TRILLION dollars look like?

All this talk about “stimulus packages” and “bailouts”…
A billion dollars…
A hundred billion dollars…
Eight hundred billion dollars…
One TRILLION dollars…
A newspaper article indicated that if we spent a million dollars a day every day since Christ was born (over two thousand years ago), we will not have spent a trillion dollars.
Click on the Link below.  At the end of the presentation there are step-by-step calculations and dimensions for those who may be interested.
See: http://www.pagetutor.com/trillion/index.html

Where have all the leaders gone?

Got this recently through my mail. To be honest, no idea where it came from and not sure this is for real. Also won’t buy the book. But, makes some interesting and puzzling reading! No comments…
Remember Lee Iacocca, the man who rescued Chrysler Corporation from it’s death throes? He’s now 82 years old and has a new book, ‘Where Have All The Leaders  Gone?’ and here are some excerpts.
Lee Iacocca Says:
leeiacoccabook Real book? Like the cigar though!
‘Am I the only guy in this country who’s fed up with what’s  happening? Where the hell is our outrage? We should be screaming bloody  murder. We’ve got a gang of clueless bozos steering our ship of state right over a cliff, we’ve got corporate gangsters stealing us blind, and we can’t even clean up after a hurricane much less build a hybrid car. But  instead of getting mad, everyone sits around and nods their heads when the  politicians say, ‘Stay the course.’
Stay the course? You’ve got to be kidding. This is America, not the damned ‘Titanic’. I’ll give you a sound bite: ‘Throw all the bums out!’
You might think I’m getting senile,  that I’ve gone off my rocker, and maybe I have. But someone has to speak up. I hardly recognize this country anymore.
The most famous business leaders are not the innovators but the guys in handcuffs. While  we’re fiddling in Iraq, the Middle East is burning and nobody seems to  know what to do. And the press is waving ‘pom-poms’ instead of asking hard  questions. That’s not the promise of the ‘America’ my parents and yours traveled across the ocean for. I’ve had enough. How about you?
I’ll go a step further. You can’t call yourself a patriot if you’re not outraged. This is a fight I’m ready and willing to have. The  Biggest ‘C’ is Crisis ! (Iacocca elaborates on nine C’s of leadership, with crisis being the first.)
Leaders are made, not born. Leadership is  forged in times of crisis. It’s easy to sit there with your feet up on the desk and talk theory. Or send someone else’s kids off to war when you’ve  never seen a battlefield yourself. It’s another thing to lead when your world comes tumbling down.
On September 11, 2001, we needed a  strong leader more than any other time in our history. We needed a steady hand to guide us out of the ashes. A hell of a mess so here’s where we  stand.
We’re immersed in a bloody war with no plan for winning and no plan for leaving.
We’re running the biggest deficit in the history of the country.
We’re losing the manufacturing edge to Asia, while our once-great companies are getting slaughtered by health care costs.
Gas prices are skyrocketing, and nobody in power has a coherent energy policy. Our schools are in trouble.
Our borders are like sieves.
The middle class is being squeezed every which way.
These are times that cry out for leadership.
But when you look around, you’ve got to ask: ‘Where  have all the leaders gone?’ Where are the curious, creative communicators? Where are the people of character, courage, conviction, omnipotence, and common sense? I may be a sucker for alliteration, but I think you get the  point.
Name me a leader who has a better idea for homeland security than making us take off our shoes in airports and throw away our shampoo?
We’ve spent billions of dollars building a huge new bureaucracy, and all we know how to do is react to things that have already happened.
Name me one leader who emerged from the crisis of Hurricane Katrina. Congress has yet to spend a single day evaluating the response to the hurricane or demanding accountability for  the decisions that were made in the crucial hours after the storm.
Everyone’s hunkering down, fingers crossed, hoping it doesn’t happen again. Now, that’s just crazy. Storms happen. Deal with it. Make a plan. Figure out what you’re going to do the next time.
Name me an industry leader who is thinking creatively about how we can restore our competitive edge in manufacturing. Who would have believed that there could ever be a time when ‘The Big Three’ referred to Japanese car companies? How did this happen, and more important, what are we going to  do about it?
Name me a government leader who can articulate a plan for paying down the debit, or solving the energy crisis, or managing the health care problem. The silence is deafening. But these are the crises that are eating away at our country and milking the middle class dry.
I have news for the gang in Congress. We didn’t elect you to sit on your asses and do nothing and remain silent while our democracy is being hijacked and our greatness is being replaced with mediocrity. What is everybody so afraid of? That some bonehead on Fox News will call  them a name? Give me a break. Why don’t you guys show some spine for a change?
Had Enough? Hey, I’m not trying to be the voice of gloom and doom here. I’m trying to light a fire. I’m speaking out because  I have hope – I believe in America. In my lifetime, I’ve had the privilege  of living through some of America ‘s greatest moments. I’ve also  experienced some of our worst crises: The ‘Great Depression,’ ‘World War  II,’ the ‘Korean War,’ the ‘ Kennedy Assassination,’ the ‘Vietnam War,’ the 1970’s oil crisis, and the struggles of recent years culminating with  9/11.
If I’ve learned one thing, it’s this: ‘You don’t  get anywhere by standing on the sidelines waiting for somebody else to  take action. Whether it’s building a better car or building a better future for our children, we all have a role to play. That’s the challenge  I’m raising in this book. It’s a call to ‘Action for people who, like me,  believe in America ‘. It’s not too late, but it’s getting pretty close. So  let’ s shake off the crap and go to work. Let’s tell ’em all we’ve had  ‘enough.’
Make your own contribution by sending this to everyone  you know and care about. It’s our country, folks, and it’s our future. Our future is at stake!!