European Chamber Position Paper: disappointment

The latest Position Paper released by the European Chamber (EUCCC) confirms the general feeling of the business community: disappointment and unhappiness. And for good reasons.

The SCMP produced a pretty good analysis:
‘Disappointed’ EU businesses urge prompt reform and opening of market in China
SCMP article

Some excerpts:

The EUCCC has urged Beijing not to delay to deliver on promises it made years ago to create a level playing field for European businesses when their Chinese rivals have few limits on their investment in EU markets.

The business lobby group expressed, once again, its disappointment about stalled reforms that were announced in November 2012. It is not the first time foreign business associations have criticized the slower-than-expected process of reforming unproductive state firms and widening market access, or voiced concern about an increasingly hostile business environment and rising protectionism alongside sluggish growth in China.

“Unfortunately, the reform agenda still often appears to be confused, uncoordinated and subject to intense resistance from special interest groups and local governments,” the report said.
“In short, the decision [on economic reform] has yet to deliver on its promises, for European and private Chinese business alike. As it initially raised expectations quite significantly, this failure to follow through has contributed to rising level of pessimism.

Ties between Beijing and Brussels were challenged recently by a dispute on rising exports of cheap Chinese products in overcapacity sectors in EU markets. EU members said the flood of Chinese products threatened local production and put local employment at risk. The bloc also launched anti-dumping investigations and imposed high punitive tariffs on Chinese exports, especially on industrial products.

Beijing is unhappy with the EU connecting China’s overcapacity to a decision on whether and how to recognize China as a market economy, a status which is largely shrugged off by many economists in China but would be deemed a political triumph for Beijing.

In the report, the EU chamber also called for “reciprocity” in bilateral investment between EU and Chinese companies.
“It is an increasingly serious concern that reciprocal market access has yet to be fully extended to European business in China,” the report, adding that Chinese companies experience few limitations on buying European companies.

It also noted that 70% of the Chinese investment that flew into Europe last year came from SOE. Many of those investments were in advanced manufacturing and clean technology, which are priorities of China’s 13th five-year plan.
“It is therefore valid to question whether measures will be taken to close off participation by European business in China’s domestic market once their new technologies have been acquired by Chinese investors.”

Another good comment is from the Financial Times, see:
1 September 2016 – Europe lobby warns on China market barriers
Tom Mitchell and Christian Shepherd in Beijing
Financial Times article

Some excerpts:

“There is a small, rocky pathway to China [for foreign investors] and an autobahn from China to Europe,” said Jörg Wuttke, head of the EUCCC. “The increasing wave of Chinese investment into Europe, while European investment in China drops, highlights the lack of reciprocal market access.”
“It is almost impossible to imagine in the current climate that a European company would be permitted to make a significant investment in an equally prominent Chinese company with advanced technological capabilities,” the chamber said.

When the Australian government recently rejected a Chinese bid for its electricity grid by China State Grid on national security grounds, some foreign executives noted a similar sale in China to overseas investors would not be permitted by Beijing.
The Chinese government has not significantly reduced restrictions on foreign investors since it joined the World Trade Organization 15 years ago.

“It is no longer clear that reform is still a top priority,” Mr. Wuttke said, adding that “the current lack of reciprocity in market access is politically unsustainable”.

Many Chinese investments in Europe, such as Geely’s acquisition of Swedish carmaker Volvo in 2010, have been successful, saving thousands of local jobs.
But as attention has turned this year to pressure on EU and US steel mills from cheap Chinese exports, western governments’ patience with the barriers confronting foreign investors in China is wearing thin.

I can only agree with those complaints.
The main issues are lack of reciprocity, increasingly difficult market access, empty promises, delays in tackling overproduction and so on. China is “unhappy” the EU hesitates to grant Market Economy Status but many EU members feel China has failed to do its part.
Overall the mood in the business community is rather black than white. While some opportunities do still exist, many industries face a tide of nationalism, closed markets and unfair treatment.

See here more details provided by the EUCCC. Worth reading…
Executive_Summary_2016_2017[English Version]
Position_Paper_2016_2017_Launch_PPT[English Version]

PPP in China: long way to go

I think I can say I have been a pioneer in Beijing trying to launch the Olympic projects under a PPP scheme (Public Private Partnership). After studying how other countries successfully used PPP, I launched the big tenders (Bird’s Nest and others) under a PPP approach. While the Prequalification was a real success we were then hit with the lawyers who said we could not follow the PPP because of the new tendering laws. So, PPP was dead, virtually, and we tried to carry out the projects in a “creative” way. Some lawyers tried to convince me “China has PPP” but our discussion lasted 1 minute only, after I asked one question; the only real PPP project ever in China was the power plant Laibin B.

Recently China officially launched a series of “PPP projects”. While I do not agree with the approach and the format is not really PPP, it seemed like a nice try.
Well, the results are not good.

See:
“UPDATE 1-China says to further pave way for private investors in infrastructure projects”
Reuters article

So far, fewer than one-quarter of projects announced by the government as PPPs have found private investors, official data shows.
Investors had signed up for 619 of 2,531 projects with a total value of 1 trillion yuan through the end of July 2016 according to the NDRC.

Reuters also pointed out in another article that the government trying to woo private capital has been a flop. Since March 2015 the NDRC has raised more than half of its target of 3.5 trillion RMB for PPP projects for bridges, roads, schools, hospitals. But over 90% comes from SOE according to a study by North Square Blue Oak. A real embarrassment for the government as it failed to attract the right private investors and SOE have been finding ways to monopolize the funding.

See also: “China’s private infrastructure firms face unexpected competition”
Yahoo Finance article

Some statements say it all:
“The government is willing to work with government firms, but co-operation with private companies is a shambles. None of the projects make financial sense.”

My experience showed most government officials (and not only in China) do not understand at all what is PPP. Explains why many projects fail as private companies do not see an interest.
As a former long-time chair of the European Chamber’s Working Group on Public procurement I kept a watch on PPP in China.

 

Talking to Curtin University in Legend Beer

On 26 August 2016 I talked to a group 15 MBA students from Curtin University, including one professor.
Curtin University is an Australian public research university based in Bentley, Perth, Western Australia. The university is named after the 14th Prime Minister of Australia, John Curtin, and is the largest university in Western Australia, with over 50,000 students (as of 2014) at locations including Perth, Margaret River, Kalgoorlie, Malaysia and Singapore.

Location: Legend Beer, private room (Gongti Xi Lu). The group had a nice lunch there first.
Time 1 pm to 3 pm
Topic:

Personal introduction on what is China is today, a different angle from what most speakers use.
I look back to what China was 35+ years ago, how it radically changed, I explain the today values in society, the role of “communism”, the role of government, a word on pollution issues (my book), and especially an analysis of the many challenges the country is facing today and the complexity of it all. It was followed by a Q&A covering a variety of subjects. Very active group with sharp questions.

The tour is organized by “The China Guide”.

A huge transformer factory in Jinan, Shandong

On 4 July 2016 we took the high-speed train from Beijing to Jinan (Shandong Province) to visit a huge factory that manufactures transformers, reactors and more.

Interesting experience for several reasons.

With the HS train we left in the morning, had lunch with the company, visited the factory and were back home in Beijing in the late evening. The trains are super-fast, cruising at 300 Km/h, so smooth that you actually think they are rather “slow”. The Beijing South Railway station is simply huge, looks more like a very large international airport with shopping and all. Security is tight but smooth. As foreigners we could not order the tickets online and could not use the ticketing terminals (only available for Chinese ID card holders). We had to line up at the counter but it went rather quickly and they did accept my Green Card. For security reasons all passengers must have a valid ID.
As I expected, arriving back in Beijing the taxi line was ENORMOUS (I guess one hour queuing not enough), badly managed and with black taxis trying to rip you off. We simply took the subway, the terminal is inside the railway station.

The Jinan West Railway station is also modern and pretty cool, not crowded.
Many countries can learn from this China experience, in particular the USA who area century behind in transportation.

The visit to the factory was also impressive, one can reflect on how factories in the West can still compete. Super clean and efficient, the most modern equipment (a lot from Germany), the factory is nice, vast, few workers. Special clothing and ventilation rooms to remove the dust from you when you enter. See the pictures.
It is one of our main clients with whom we closely work together.

EMBA group from Yeshiva University

Talking again to EMBA delegation from Yeshiva University (New York, USA), 14 EMBA students and 1 faculty member prof. Andrew Geller. The tour in China is organized by ISP from Prague, a long-term partner.

This time in Novotel Peace, close to Wangfujing in Beijing.
My usual “personal introduction” to China today and an overview of the many challenges the country is facing today, followed by a Q&A.